Saturday, 18 February 2017

Some of my favourite, or most useful, finance books

Fortune's Forumla was one of the most fun reads I've ever been fortunate enough to stumble across. That's a big call, but I mean it. It's certainly been a while since I last read it, but it has been worth reading more than once. I must read it again. William Poundstone's narrative theme is the Kelly Criterion largely centred around Ed Thorp with a dash of Claude Shannon. You gotta read it to understand how the mob's low latency telephone betting arbitrage underwrote an embarrassingly large amount of AT&T/Bell's revenue. The amazingly simple story within: buy the worst performing stocks the next day, sell the best performing, rinse repeat for a couple of decades. Just read it.

At four companies I've been involved with, I used C/C++ code that was transliterated from Espen Haug's The Complete Guide to Option Pricing Formulas book. As far as option pricing goes, this approach was largely enough pricing to make some millions of dollars. Last time I just ocr'd the relevant pages, as the CD had gone walkabout, and transliterated the BASIC code to C/C++ fairly directly. Pricing and unit tests done in less than a day. Perhaps I should do it again and release such C++ as open source so I can stop the repetition. I kind of prefer the size and convenience of the first edition, but the second edition is certainly an improvement.

I like Barry Johnson's Algorithmic Trading and DMA: An introduction to direct access trading strategies even though it is not overly insightful for a market professional. It is nice, clean, and easy to read but its real usefulness to me has been as the "goto" description of a call auction if anyone asks you. That small snippet is dog eared. Somehow I find it a particularly pleasant book even if it is not filled with great insight. A tidy reference.

As far as understanding option trading goes, there is only one that is worthy that I've come across. It is ancient but still relevant and a great introduction for a budding trader. Sheldon Natenberg's Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques. This is the ancient 1994 edition I've read and recommended over the years. There is a newer 2014 edition, "Option Volatility and Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques, 2nd Edition", but I can't vouch for it as I haven't read it, though I know I probably should.

For futures and option basics, especially for new finance staff, just stick to the biblical Hull, "Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives (9th Edition)", but why is it now so expensive? You might find a better price in a university's co-op bookshop. Just a tip.

I'm not the biggest Taleb fan, but whilst I found the mildly annoying "Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)" was well worth the read, albeit through gritted teeth, you gotta give Taleb a lot of credit for the masterclass that is: "Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options."


Rebanto's "Volatility and Correlation: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox" is a favourite of mine though I've only read about half of it as it is my most "missing" book. Over the years, somehow it has just walked out of a few of my offices and disappeared into the Ether. Perhaps there can't be a much better recommendation than that? I'd like to read it all but I can't really afford to keep buying copies. I credit this book with stimulating me into some newer and novel ways of thinking about volatility and pricing that aren't contained in any text book. That is a real credit to Rebanto's intuitive way of presenting his thoughts on pricing and volatility. He's a good teacher. Perhaps it is the most valuable half read book I've never completed? Hmmm.

As another fun, albeit soft, read, Peter Berstein's "Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk" is about as good as it gets. The story about the English using the Roman life tables for their annuities is a rip roarer, especially when you look at those median life spans from the 1600s. There is a lot of context in many of his books that have enriched my life. Highly recommended.

What's next on my list? Well I'm waiting on Amazon to deliver Dave Cumming's autobiography, "Make the Trade". It should be a beauty based on this snippet:

A snippet from Sniper's tweet
(click to enlarge)
I've chatted briefly to Dave a few times and always found him to be terribly interesting and engaging. I'm sure his tome will be a great read, full of historical gems that only someone who has been there and done that can provide.




Happy trading,

--Matt.



Tuesday, 24 January 2017

US microstructure - why the rules don't matter

That's a little facetious. Rules do matter except when they don't.

Let's trudge past the click-bait-like title a little to revisit the recent Citadel SEC fine: A tale of two cities' firms.

First a fair warning. This is really not that interesting and you'll have to be a very bored market structure geek to care much about this meandering meander. My advice is to run away whilst you still can.

OK. Don't say I didn't warn you.

CES was fined for a lack of disclosure around how their internaliser worked under some limited circumstances. In the article linked above, I explained why I think PFOF and best execution is kind of oxymoronic. Nevertheless, it is useful, and prudent, to remember that the retail punter is better off, on the whole, with CES stepping in and providing general price improvement. CES is a remarkably efficient PFOF machine that benefits many clients. Perhaps the market could do better if given a chance to chew on retail orders? Probably not easily, and perhaps never, especially with the sub-penny rule. It's an interesting dilemma.

All that aside, there were some questions around if, and if so: when and how, FastFlow and SmartProvide at CES would have become improper if they did continue. Larry Tabb suggested such activity was allowed at the time but was not likely to be OK now:

That was interesting as I wasn't sure when or where the regulations made the direct feed (DF) essential if you had access. It still remains that you can use just the SIP if that's all you have, by the way.

Mr Kipp Rogers pointed out the correct FINRA regulation covering this. Kipp also pointed out the preceding reg from the daze of NASD. The text is pretty short. Importantly, all the various versions are also referenced as they changed over time. You won't see any reference to a DF in them there wordy things though. Hmmm.

Let's have a quick looks at FINRA 5310, the pertinent regulation. The particular sub-section reads:

5310. Best Execution and Interpositioning 

(a)(1) In any transaction for or with a customer or a customer of another broker-dealer, a member and persons associated with a member shall use reasonable diligence to ascertain the best market for the subject security and buy or sell in such market so that the resultant price to the customer is as favorable as possible under prevailing market conditions. Among the factors that will be considered in determining whether a member has used "reasonable diligence" are:
(A) the character of the market for the security (e.g., price, volatility, relative liquidity, and pressure on available communications); 
(B) the size and type of transaction; 
(C) the number of markets checked; 
(D) accessibility of the quotation; and 
(E) the terms and conditions of the order which result in the transaction, as communicated to the member and persons associated with the member.

That form of the rule is the latest incarnation, as from 9-May-2014. Some form of this best execution obligation has been a rule effective since May 1968 you'll see in the history listed at the bottom of the reg. I presume preceding 1968 best ex was just a moral obligation if there was no such rule. I expect it was likely covered by some code of practice somewhere. After-all, doing the right thing by a customer is an obvious and indispensable thought.

If you choose to go to the previous version of the FINRA rule, the text of 5310 (a)(1) remains exactly the same for the period covering May 9 2011 - May 30 2012. This is still after the CES fine period. We have to go back to the preceding reg at NASD2320 and look at the third last version to get to the last period covered by the CES settlement:

2320. Best Execution and Interpositioning

Past version: effective from Dec 14 2009 - Jun 27 2010.

(a)(1) In any transaction for or with a customer or a customer of another broker-dealer, a member and persons associated with a member shall use reasonable diligence to ascertain the best market for the subject security and buy or sell in such market so that the resultant price to the customer is as favorable as possible under prevailing market conditions. Among the factors that will be considered in determining whether a member has used "reasonable diligence" are: 

(A) the character of the market for the security, e.g., price, volatility, relative liquidity, and pressure on available communications;
(B) the size and type of transaction; 
(C) the number of markets checked; 
(D) accessibility of the quotation; and 
(E) the terms and conditions of the order which result in the transaction, as communicated to the member and persons associated with the member.
Yes. It's the same. The regulatory text hasn't changed but what was proper is now improper. So how did it change? How do you know what is the law of the land?

It is unfortunate that reading the law gives not that much understanding of the interpretation of the law. That changes over time. This is a particular case in the point. The Best Ex obligations and wording have remained the same, but the interpretation changed. When you re-read Larry Tabb's tweet above, carefully note the word "guidance." Hmmm.

I asked for a pointer to when that was on twitter. Mr David Weisberger politely replied as follows:



The link to the November 2015 interpretation that mentions DFs in footnote 12 is here, with the following snippets extracted:



So, that's settled. If you're somewhat unsettled by the settling of something so important in a footnote to a regulatory notice that is not explicitly referenced in the regulatory legalese, then you're not alone. Practitioners in law and tax have long had such problems. Law is set by precedents and interpretations by different strengths of courts and officials. Sometimes concurrently. Sometimes with paradoxical conflict. The sometimes twisty, long history of many of these things matter. Some interpretations will go back to the Magna Carta over 800 years ago so don't feel bad if you're too young to remember the actual regulatory events. It is simply not possible for a mortal to have the collective history of all laws and interpretations, so we rely on study and specialisations. As Matt Levine points out in Marblegate, sometimes we forget about how things became the way they are until cases are lost and then won on appeal when clever archaeology assists the memory reconstruction process to derive the thoughts that once resulted in a heuristic now assumed to be innate,
"There are three possible levels of understanding the law, or a bond document, or whatever:

  1. Not reading it.
  2. Reading it.
  3. Reading it while also being familiar with the institutional memory of the legal community."
The largest law library in the world, available to all
Good luck reading
"approximately 5 million items"
It is a curse of the modern world. My father opines for a return to an understandable tax system. In the 1960s, when he first became a partner in an accounting firm, he fondly remembers being able to read the tax law in a thinnish but not tiny volume, and digest it, and understand it. Today's Australian tax law is voluminous, cumbersome, and esoteric and yet still likely simpler than the US tax code. One of his practice's partners had deep anxiety about the ever growing complexity of tax. He felt he could no longer serve his clients diligently as he simply could no longer keep it all in his head. This fellow took an early retirement rather than cope with the anxiety of the unknowable that all sensible accountants and lawyers must contain within their true selves beyond the carefully marketed veneer of expertise. Therefore we have the practice of regulatory books reproducing laws along with carefully researched annotations regarding precedents, cases, and interpretations that are necessarily incomplete but serve as the "real" law to most except for the rare exceedingly expert bird.

Market regulation is simply a simpler case of the same lack of simplicity.

That is, market structure is perhaps now getting to a stage where it has a similar need for an interpretive dance book just like larger fields. DF versus SIP for PFOF. IOIs in the dark. Speed bump interpretations and types of delays. The so-called millisecond "de minimis" that isn't a millisecond. Allowable orders. There is an annual interpretive book needed there that I definitely don't want to read but probably would. It would be incomplete, a good start, and cheaper than a poorly focused discussion with a securities law firm.

For now, the bottom line is, you won't know the law if you read the law. Be alert, not alarmed. That's how it is designed to be. You'll need the institutional memory of bright folk like Larry Tabb, David Weisberger, David Lauer, Kipp Rogers, and their kin to keep you straight.

Good luck with that,

--Matt.

Tuesday, 17 January 2017

A tale of two cities' firms

Not so comical?
(source: Wikipedia)
"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to heaven, we were all going direct the other way - in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only."

Charles Dickens is no less relevant in 2017 than he was in 1859. Yeah, the quote is a bit delightfully long.

The big news from last week was the Moody's gentle US$864m wrist slap and general escape. However, the micro news was a bit more stimulating to me. The SEC came out with two interesting finalisations of matters.

Firstly, ITG's Frank Troise's valiant attempt to turn around belief struck a hiccough with ITG's well telegraphed ADR fiasco being finalised by the SEC ($US 24.4M). Secondly, Citadel, or more specifically Citadel Execution Services (CES) as part of Citadel Securities LLC, was poked in the ribs for misrepresenting how some of its wholesale internalisation, or Payment For Order Flow (PFOF), worked ($US 22.6M). There was a very important difference between the two findings. ITG was doing something wrong. CES was not found to be doing something wrong with respect to transactions but, rather, was found to be miscommunicating what it was doing. Let's meander through both of these.

New York, New York


It's just on a year since Frank Troise took over at ITG. He has made significant progress in changing the focus of the firm back to its clients. The most important action undertaken was closing the proprietary trading and lending businesses down. ITG had been called to account for their pool abuses with their previous settlement of $US 20.4M. This new settlement may finalise the lending abuses and Troise's aim to deflect the settlement to historical legacy is fair enough. It remains to be seen if the strong language from the SEC,
"Many of the ADRs obtained by ITG through pre-release transactions were ultimately used to engage in short selling and dividend arbitrage even though they may not have been backed by foreign shares."
results in any other parties being held to account. The large missing item for ITG is that it has not been properly held to account for the historical lying to its customers about being an agency only business. ITG did infact engage in proprietary trading in the same or similar products to many of its clients. Bob Gasser misled a US Senate Committee in 2012 when he claimed ITG did not engage in proprietary trading,
"ITG is not a market maker, and we do not take on proprietary positions. In other words, we do not have “skin in the game...”
ITG closed their proprietary trading business in 2016. I don't think proprietary trading is necessarily a bad thing in a diversified financial services business, but lying about it is definitely bad. When you're caught out doing something you said you're not doing, the sensible thing is to get rid of it so your customers may grow better trust in your integrity. ITG seems a bit swollen in head count with ageing products but at least it has a chance now if it can lift its game. However, the deception associated with ITG's proprietary trading has not yet been accounted for by any regulator. We'll have to wait to see if that penny drops.

ITG's share price has been doing OK with reasonable interest being associated with sizeable positions. Now revenues may see some improvement through some of the diversification being promised. It is also possible significant head count reductions could see a much better ROI from ITG's legacy IP even if revenue faded. That is, I'm not sure ITG would perform much worse with only 250 people instead of over 1000. 2017 is going to be "interesting" for ITG staffers you'd expect. Time will tell if New York's ITG is a value trap or not.

A cover from the 1859 Serial. Has the SEC started another serial?
Is there more to come? (Source: Wikipedia)

By the inland sea: the other city


In a tale from the city of Chicago, Citadel had a bit of a different diagnosis and prognosis from their SEC fine. After a detailed look under the covers, the SEC found CES made misstatements about how its executions worked in some circumstances. Its operations were not found to be at fault, but its marketing was. That's an important distinction. So how bad was it? Is this similar to ITG deceiving its customers about it pool operations or prop trading? It looks quite different to me.

After trying to parse to the SEC order I found myself left without all the detail to make a proper judgement of the situation. There are are curious twists in the saga worth discussing however. I was certainly left with the impression that there was simple miscommunication going on rather than anything nefarious. The FastFill aspect goes to the heart of PFOF. More about that below as I feel the juxtaposition of PFOF and best execution responsibilities particularly troublesome. The other procedure focused upon by the SEC was CES's algo called SmartProvide. There is not enough detail to evaluate SmartProvide. The scant details could even be interpreted as a gain for the customer, though less likely than otherwise. Nevertheless, CES was penalised for saying it was doing X and instead doing mainly X with a dash of Y.

The scale of the Citadel misgivings was pretty small beer according to the SEC. They point out that CES does about 35% of retail execution in the US. Yet in the period covered from "late 2007 through January 2010" the SEC disgorged $5.2M for those two and a bit years. It is interesting to try to put that in a per customer perspective. CES is one of the big internalisers, for example they handle most of TD Ameritrade's volume. TD Ameritrade is one of the big five retail brokers (Nov 2015). This shows north of 50 million or so retail accounts are likely for the big five.  The SEC counted 109 million retail and institutional brokerage accounts in 2011. It would thus not surprise if there were approximately 100 million retail brokerage accounts in the US. So if the CES penalty was over 35% of those it would equate to about $0.075 annually.  Yes, seven and a half cents, per account per year. That calculation is arguably quite a bit wrong, but you get the idea. The scale is nevertheless appropriate. The profit attributed to those algos was pretty small beer.

There are a few interesting facets to all of this. Let's look at Fast Fill: from the SEC order,
"10. One strategy, known as FastFill, was triggered when the best price from one or more of the depth of book feeds that FastFill referenced was better than the best price disseminated by the SIP feed. Assuming all other eligibility conditions were met, FastFill immediately internalized a marketable order at the SIP NBB or NBO, as applicable, or better. 
11. For example, if CES was handling a marketable order to buy shares, and the SIP best offer was $10.01, and the best offer from one or more of the depth of book feeds was $10.00, FastFill immediately internalized the order using the SIP offer of $10.01 per share. FastFill did not internalize at or seek to obtain through routing the better $10.00 price from the depth of book feeds."
This is basically saying that if the SIP was behind the direct feed, the customer got the SIP and CES would do its best to get something better for itself. That may not have always worked out for CES, but it probably did. This is the direct feed (DF) versus SIP feed, a so called latency arb that isn't, but is frowned upon at an ATS or exchange. I'm not sure if this was improper for an internaliser under rules at the time. I don't think it was. Newer rulings, subsequent to January 2010, may have an impact in current interpretations. The SEC did not take the view it was improper, they just wanted proper disclosure. For example, say that you used some smart ML to determine the price was about to change and thus filled your clients over the spread with the expectation you would do better as you hedge, but with less certainty, is that wrong? At what price is innovation? It quickly gets cloudy.

SmartProvide gets murkier. The SEC order doesn't give full details but enough to know that you can't really make a judgement,
"12. The second strategy, known as SmartProvide, was triggered when the SIP NBB or NBO, as applicable, was better than the best price from at least one of the depth of book feeds. SmartProvide did not internalize at the SIP price, nor did it seek to obtain an execution at that price by sending an order to the market. Instead, assuming all other conditions for order handling by SmartProvide were met, SmartProvide would route a non—marketable order to the market.
13. For example, if CES was handling a marketable order to buy shares, and the SIP NBO was $10.01, and the best offer from one or more of the depth of book feeds was $10.02, SmartProvide would send a buy order to be displayed in the market at a price less than $10.01, such as $10.00. This order would be displayed for up to one to five seconds, depending on the size of the order. If this order received an execution, the customer order would benefit from the execution at the better price (i.e., the shares purchased by the customer would be at a price at least one penny better than the NBC). This occurred for approximately 18% of the shares handled by SmartProvide. If the order did not receive a full execution from this routing, CES’s algorithms reassessed the handling of the remaining shares, and could either internalize or seek to obtain an execution in the market. Some of the orders that CBS internalized after SmartProvide displayed an order in the market on their behalf received a price that was worse than they otherwise would have received in the absence of SmartProvide."
So, 18% of trades were executed at a better price. The customer benefited in those cases. Did that offset the other 82%? It is unclear. It probably didn't but it could have if the average 18% gain was 4 times larger than the 82% average displacement. We don't have enough information to know for sure. Also, it was not a simple DF versus SIP equation here as the decision was specific to order size and which stock as to how the algo assessed the decision making. Here is how the SEC described the SmartProvide trigger,
"Triggering Event for SmartProvide 
34. SmartProvide was triggered when the SIP NBB or NBO, as applicable, was better than the best bid or offer from one or more depth of book feeds. SmartProvide referenced only one depth of book feed for many securities and fewer than all of the depth of book feeds for other securities. Accordingly, at times, SmartProvide was triggered when the SIP NBB or NBO, as applicable, was from an exchange whose depth of book feed SmartProvide did not reference. In addition, SmartProvide sometimes could be triggered when the difference existed between the SIP and only one of the depth of book feeds SmartProvide referenced, and not the others.
35. For example, in the case of a marketable order to buy shares, SmartProvide could be triggered if the SIP NBO was $10.01, and the best offer from one or more of the depth of book feeds was $10.02, even though the best offer on one or more of the depth of book feeds from one or more other exchanges was $10.01."
So, it was a bit more complex than DF versus SIP. There was some judgement as to which DFs got used, often only one. However, this is not what was disclosed,
"40. During the relevant period, CES provided a written disclosure to certain retail broker—dealer clients that described a market order as an “[o]rder to buy (sell) at the best offer (bid) price currently available in the marketplace,” and made other, similar representations to its clients. As discussed above, these statements suggested that CES would either internalize the marketable order at, or seek to obtain through routing, the best bid or offer from the various market data feeds CES referenced. These statements were materially misleading in light of the way that FastFill and SmartProvide functioned."
Sometimes a client got a much better price by not crossing the spread thanks to SmartProvide. However, that is not what paragraph 40 says. It is wrong to say something and do another even if it's advantageous to the client. So, the customers still received SIP NBBO or better but the marketing didn't correctly represent the ever changing algo operations. This CES story is not simply a black hat versus white hat story.

Best execution versus Payment For Order Flow


If you were to do best execution by policy, I'd argue payment for order flow could not exist. By definition the wholesaler is getting money, say $0.002 per share, for handling the order. The wholesaler is not a charity. They are expecting to receive more than the fee they pay for the execution or the execution information as a statistical whole. They need to make a profit.

That is, fundamentally, the customer is not getting best ex in a holistic fee and execution sense. The broker could make the same decisions as the wholesaler. Then, instead of losing the wholesale fee and the wholesale profit, the customer could receive that cost as a benefit. This is what I mean by best ex and PFOF being in tension. It is also just weird that US retail broking is just not really all that concerned with, you know, broking. Maybe it's just me.

All that said, there are obligations on the broker to shop for the appropriate wholesaler and to monitor and report on such. There is some competition and tension in the market place even though big wholesalers are very few in number. To me, PFOF, like the order protection rule, had a point in days gone by, but it appears to have over stayed its welcome.

Europe does best ex better than the US. In the US you get an audit and profiled against the SIP. The US has specific procedural elements, such as the order protection rule, you must take heed of. In Europe there is a better approach where best execution is a policy. Thus best ex is a little woolier but it ostensibly takes the gaming of specifics out of the equation. However, a lack of enforcement makes for weak policy in the Europe but enforcement seemingly improves over time. Canada has learnt from the US and European experience and I think it has struck a better policy / execution balance. The SEC could learn a little from IIROC but are unlikely to look North for inspiration in their parochial world.

The order protection rule is ripe for change as, not only is it tired, incumbents benefit if it is retired. PFOF is unlikely to ease out of the picture as large brokers and wholesalers benefit, and arguably, the smaller brokers still benefit by being able to outsource their operations as the NMS gets ever more complex. However, best execution and PFOF will continue to remain oxymoronic to me.

Happy trading,

--Matt.

Wednesday, 4 January 2017

How to game Nasdaq's Extended Life Priority Order Attribute

Someone at Nasdaq wasn't thinking too hard when they proposed the Extended Life Priority Order Attribute (ELO). To quote ELO, "Confusion - you don't know what you're sayin'":


The FIA Principal Traders Group penned a pretty reasonable takedown of the proposal here. In addition to FIA's commentary, you always have to be suspicious of retail justification, or trials, for orders. Almost no retail order ever sees a US public exchange. It is kind of like justifying invasive laws with terrorism. Beware of falsely profiting prophets.

Simply put, the ELO attribute, if you set it, puts you ahead of other orders at the same price. 99% of your orders, reviewed quarterly, with the ELO attribute set need to last at least one second, or be executed. Yes, you can cancel your ELO attributed order in just a few nanoseconds without consequence, just keep in mind the 99% rule.

As an HFT, simply mark every order as ELO. Gain priority on all your orders and profit. Make sure 99% of your orders are away from best so they normally last the required one second. This can be done in the normal course of business as this is how you would paint the book with proper trade intentions for priority anyway. Trade normally with your regular flow, including fast cancels.

If you get it a bit wrong, don't panic as it is reviewed quarterly and you will be not pushed out on your first indiscretion.

Everyone will do the same, so all orders will be ELO and nothing changes. Stupid, huh?

The ELO proposal is trivially easy to game and thus somewhat pointless. Nasdaq should withdraw it.

Live long and prosper,

--Matt.

__________

PS: ELO is kind of weird when the normal behaviour is for priority to be granted for orders the longer they are in the system anyway. You know, the normal price, time priority ordering thing. ELO grants priority for a promise of being in the system longer, but you don't have to mean it. You can cancel an ELO in a nanosecond regardless of your promise. Your ELOs are still ordered by time priority of arrival compared to other ELOs, so picoseconds still matter. Nevertheless, your one microsecond old ELO will take priority over the order that has been in the system for two hours. That makes little sense.

Sunday, 1 January 2017

2017 = 111111 0000 1

After a wee meander, 2017 seems a little weirdly interesting.

It's primal, not perfect, and odd. Really, after 2016?!

Its unicode suggests a year of delta: ߡ. Batten down the VIX then ;-)

Genetically, 2017 can't possibly be cool as it is the sum of squares: 9^2 + 44^2

2017 isn't politically happy as it opposes a primitive right [angle]. Some destiny: it is the hypotenuse of a primitive Pythagorean triple: 2017^2 = 792^2 + 1855^2

Cute representations:
2^11 - 2^5 + 2^0
3^2^2 + (2^2 (3^2 + 2))^2
It's a hex of old memories. 7E1 reminds me of the old BBS modem days: 7 bits with even parity. Remember when there wasn't an Internet and no blogs that wasted your time?

2017 mainly leaves one left out of small groups, unless you're talking about group of five. 2017 mod [2..9] = 1, except for 2017 mod 5 = 2. That's OK for me. After all, I'd question the judgement of small group that would include me :P

2017 suggests it is going to be interesting. Let's hope 2017 is not suggesting an ancient Chinese proverbial curse, "May you live in interesting times." Interesting in a good way would be nice.

Wishing you all the best for your primally odd 2017,

--Matt.

With some thanks to Wolfram Alpha
(click to enlarge)